Nba Spread Betting Strategy

NBA POINT SPREADS EXPLAINED:

The Sacramento Kings (3-3) visit the Golden State Warriors (3-3) Monday at 10 p.m. Below, we analyze the Kings-Warriors NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions. Sacramento is coming off back-to-back losses at the Houston Rockets, falling 102-94 Saturday and 122-119 New Year’s Eve. Compare live NBA Odds, Lines and Spreads. Up to date betting odds of the top sportsbooks including money lines, point spreads, totals and futures on SBR.

The point spread – commonly referred to as “the spread” – is the number assigned by the sportsbooks to represent the point difference between two teams for betting purposes. The goal of the spread is not to project how many points that a certain team is going to win by. Instead, the point spread is meant to create a situation where half the wagers that come in on a game are on one team while the other half are on the other. (This is called “balanced action”).

The team with the negative number is considered the favorite. (Example: -7.5) The team with the positive number is considered the underdog or “dog”. (Example: +7.5)

The team that is the favorite needs to win the game by more than the assigned point spread value in order to cash the ticket. For example, if the Boston Celtics are -3.5 against the New York Knicks they need to win by four or more points to beat the point spread. Conversely, a bettor taking the underdog Knicks in this example needs New York to either win outright or lose by three or fewer points.

NBA MONEYLINE EXPLAINED:

A moneyline wager in an NBA game is a bet on which team will win the game outright, independent of the point spread.

The favorite in a game has a negative moneyline (example: -160). The underdog has a positive moneyline (example: +125). The odds represent the payouts on a $100 wager. So for a favorite at -160 the bettor would wager $160 to win $100. For an underdog at +125 the bettor would wager $100 to win $125.

Again, moneyline bettors are simply trying to pick which team will win the game. The moneyline is the agreed upon payout of the wager.

NBA TOTALS or OVER/UNDER EXPLAINED

NBA totals are a bet on the total combined number of points that both teams will score in a given game.

You can bet totals ‘over’ or ‘under’. If you are betting ‘over’ then you are betting that the combined number of points from the teams will exceed the posted total. If the posted total is 205.5 and you bet ‘over’ then you wagering that 206 or more combined points will be scored. If you are betting ‘under’ 205.5 then you are hoping for 205 or fewer combined points to be scored.

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All points scored in overtime count towards the totals wager. If the total number of points scored ends up being exactly the same as the posted total (for instance a 104-100 game with a total of 204.0) it is considered a ‘push’ (a tie) and the bet is refunded.

NBA FUTURES EXPLAINED:

NBA futures are wagers on eventual results regarding certain teams. For example, a NBA championship futures wager is a bet on which team will win the NBA title in June. Other types of NBA futures wagers can involve the number of wins that a team achieves during the season, betting on which team wins their specific division, or betting on which team will win the conference title.

The odds on NBA futures wagers are generally expressed similar to a moneyline. For example, the Bulls could be posted at +1800 to win the NBA championship. That means that a $100 wager would yield $1,800 if Chicago won the NBA championship.

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Nba Spread Betting Example

When you play the point spread, you are not betting whether your favorite NBA team is going to win or lose a game; you are betting how many points they may win or lose by.

Point spread betting can make the most lopsided game interesting. You can bet on the expansion team to rise to the occasion and not lose by 20, or wager that the defending champion will win in a blowout. Or maybe that underdog road team keeps it close against a heavily favored team playing on home court.

Point spread betting lines are recognizable by the use of the + or – symbols.

When a team has a point spread line with a plus sign (+), it indicates that the team must win the game outright or lose the game by fewer number of points than what is indicated in the line.

When a team has a point spread line with a minus sign (-), it indicates that the team must win the game by a greater number of points than what is indicated in the line.

A typical point spread betting line will look something like this:
Los Angeles Lakers +3.5
@ Toronto Raptors -3.5

With a point-spread line of 3.5, the Lakers must win the game outright or lose by three points or less to cover the spread and be graded as a win. Conversely, the Toronto Raptors must win by at least four points to cover and be graded as a win.

At times, oddsmakers will set the point spread on a whole number like 3, 6 or even 10. In cases like these, if the favored team wins by the exact number set for the spread, the bet is considered “a push” and the risk amount of your bet would be returned to you. For example, if the Raptors were 7-point favorites and they won by seven points, any wager on the Raptors at -7 would result in a push.

Every now and then you’ll come across a game without a spread. This is called a pick’em where each team is given even odds to win the game. Since no points are given or taken away in a pick’em, the team that wins the game is the team that wins the bet.

Your payout is determined by the moneyline odds attached to the point spread. A negative number (such as -170) shows how much money you must wager to win $100, while a positive number (like +150) shows how much money you will win if you place a $100 wager.

Typically, the odds given on the spread are -110 unless otherwise noted. Oddsmakers may adjust a line in the days and hours leading up to a game based on how bettors are responding to the line. This is done in an effort to balance the action.

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You can also place point spread bets on a specific portion of a game – when first half, second half or quarter lines are offered.